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Mainz vs FC Augsburg: Preview & Prediction

Mainz vs FC Augsburg: Preview & Prediction

Mainz vs FC Augsburg
17th February 2024
Coface Arena

The most comprehensive preview, detailed analysis and reliable predictions of the Bundesliga fixture between Mainz and FC Augsburg.

Mainz vs FC Augsburg: Preview

Mainz form analysis

Die Nullfünfer started their 2024 Bundesliga campaign with a 1-1 home draw against Wolfsburg on January 13th, conceding early before equalizing via S. Widmer. On January 27th, Mainz suffered a 1-0 away loss to Eintracht Frankfurt after conceding to M. Götze in the 72nd minute. Things got worse on February 3rd as Mainz lost 1-0 at home to Werder Bremen, allowing an early 2nd minute goal to M. Ducksch. Mainz stopped the rot with a 1-1 home draw against Union Berlin on February 7th – J. Burkardt put them ahead before conceding to R. Gosens.

Most recently on February 11th, Mainz were beaten comprehensively 3-1 away by Stuttgart, going down 2-0 by halftime and only scoring a late consolation via L. Ajorque. Overall, Mainz have struggled defensively, keeping just one clean sheet and conceding multiple goals in 3 games. They’ve also lacked decisiveness up front, scoring just 3 goals. Tightening up at the back while finding more clinical edge in attack will be critical if Mainz hope to avoid relegation this season.

FC Augsburg form analysis

Augsburg began their 2024 Bundesliga campaign with a disappointing 1-0 home loss to Bayer Leverkusen on January 13th, conceding late to E. Palacios. Things improved on January 21st as Augsburg won 2-1 away at Borussia Mönchengladbach, overturning an early deficit through goals from P. Tietz and A. Engels. However, Augsburg suffered a 3-2 home loss to Bayern Munich on January 27th despite scoring twice through E. Demirović.

On February 3rd away at Bochum, Augsburg had to settle for a 1-1 draw after conceding first before E. Demirović converted a late penalty. Most recently on February 10th, Augsburg drew 2-2 at home with RB Leipzig in a thriller – P. Tietz and E. Demirović had Augsburg ahead twice but they conceded to L. Openda and B. Šeško. Overall, Augsburg have been solid offensively, scoring in every game with E. Demirović particularly lethal. But defensive issues persist, conceding 2+ goals in 4 of 5 games. Finding greater defensive stability to complement their attacking threat will be key if Augsburg hope to avoid another relegation battle.

Mainz vs FC Augsburg: Prediction

Augsburg’s last six matches on the road have seen an average scoreline of 2.33. A similar outcome is expected when they compete in an arena that has not witnessed more than two goals in the last six matches.

The visitors have lost just twice on the road in the last four months. They are likely to have the edge as they face a club that is winless in five home league matches.

Under 2.5 goals @ 1.94 odds.

Asian handicap: +0.5 FC Augsburg @ 1.86 odds.

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